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Conditional Probability

You may well have tried the Monty Hall problem, a question based on the game show 'Let's Make a Deal'. In the game show, extra information is given about the whereabouts of a prize. If you use this extra information, you are more likely to choose the correct strategy and win the car! This is the basis of conditional probability: extra information changes probabilities. You should be able to recognise this sort of...


Tags: given that, a/b, bayes, monty hall, bayes' theorem

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