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Paper 3 question on oligopoly, collusion, game theory, and non-price competition

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Sample paper 3 question

IB Economics Paper 3 includes two compulsory questions. This is a sample Paper 3 question. The time allowed for Paper 3 is 105 minutes, so students should spend 52.5 minutes on each question. 

This Paper 3-style question covers oligopoly, collusion, game theory, and non-price competition.

Oligopoly in the sugar market

A country's sugar market has two main producers: Firm A and Firm B. Firm A is owned by a multinational food manufacturer and manufactures its product from sugar beet. Firm B is owned by an American sugar refining company and dominates cane sugar refining. As an oligopolistic market, some in the industry worry that the two companies are exploiting consumers through pricing and choice. However, sugar prices in the country are below the average price in international markets. 

Some economists and consumer groups believe effective regulation in the market is crucial in protecting both domestic consumers and firms that buy sugar as part of their production processes. It is argued that regulation could be difficult to enforce in the sugar market and could push up business costs and reduce the profits needed to fund investment. A possible alternative to regulation is using corporation tax (tax on business profits) on companies that earn profits above a certain level. There are concerns this could reduce investment by profitable businesses. 

Questions

a. (i) Outline two characteristics of an oligopolistic market. [2]

  • A small number of large firms account for a high proportion of total market revenue.
  • Firms make interdependent decisions and react to each other's decisions. 


The table shows estimated price and revenue data for an oligopolistic sugar producer. 

Price $Quantity ‘000’TR ‘000’MRTCMCATC
6.5600A 3,240 5.4
   B 3.39 
5.59004,950 4,257 4.73
   1.50 C 
4.51,2005,400 4,707 D
   -0.50 9.81 
3.51,5005,250 7,650 5.1
       

Using the data in the table, calculate the:

(i) Total revenue A. [1]

(ii) Marginal revenue B. [1]

(iii) Marginal cost C. [1]

(iv) Average cost D. [1]

Price $Quantity ‘000’TR ‘000’ MRTCMCATC
6.56003,900 3,240 5.4
   3.50 3.39 
5.59004,950 4,257 4.73
   1.50 1.50 
4.51,2005,400 4,707 3.92
   -0.50 9.81 
3.51,5005,250 7,650 5.1

(v) State the profit-maximising output. [1]

1,200 units

(vi) Calculate the profit at the profit-maximising output. [1]

$693,000

(v) State the type of profit being earned. [1]

Abnormal, supernormal or economic profit.

(vi) Explain why the oligopolistic sugar producer might be able to maintain the profit they are earning in the long run. [2]

The oligopolistic sugar producer can earn abnormal profits in the long run because barriers to entry prevent new producers from entering the market and reducing profits to normal. 

The matrix shows the profit and loss situations of two sugar manufacturers in a non-collusive oligopoly based on the decision to decrease price or keep prices the same. 

(viii) Using the information in the matrix, explain why Firm A and Firm B might both choose to cut price in this non-collusive market situation. [4] 

If Firm A and Firm B both cut prices, the most they can lose is Firm A -£2m and Firm B -£4m. If Firm A keeps its price the same, it could lose £7m if Firm B cuts its price, and if Firm B keeps its price the same, it could lose £13m if Firm A cuts its price. This means the lowest-risk choice for Firm A and Firm B is to cut their price. 

(ix) Define the term formal collusion. [2]

Formal collusion is when firms in an oligopolistic market agree to fix prices and output. 

(x) Based on the pricing matrix, state what would Firm A and Firm B choose to do if they could collude in the sugar market. [1]

Keep prices the same.


(ix) Explain one type of non-price competition that Firm A and Firm B could use to increase their revenues. [2]

Firm A and Firm B could use an advertising campaign to increase demand for their sugar and their total revenues. 


b. Evaluate a policy a government might use to control monopoly power in the sugar market. [10]

Possible policies:
  • Legislation and regulation
  • State ownership and control
  • Taxation 
  • Fines
A government could use regulation to control monopoly power in the sugar market ['Effective regulation in the market is crucial']. One way is to prevent companies from colluding, either formally or through tacit collusion. If companies in the sugar market, such as Firm A and Firm B, can fix prices and output, they could raise prices and reduce output, reducing sugar consumers' welfare ['Companies are exploiting consumers through pricing and choice'].
The diagram shows this: the yellow area represents the welfare loss in consumer surplus, and the green area represents the welfare loss in producer surplus if more firms could enter the market.  Evaluation: It could be difficult for the government to stop tacit collusion because Firm A and Firm B could collude without formal evidence.
Regulating the sugar market could mean requiring Firm A and Firm B to set prices where MC equals D to achieve the allocatively efficient output. This would reduce welfare loss and lead to lower prices for consumers. Evaluation: It could be difficult for the government to enforce an allocatively efficient price because it is difficult to know exactly what the price is [‘Could be difficult to enforce’]. If the allocatively efficient price reduces profits for Firm A and Firm B, it could reduce investment by both firms, which could disadvantage consumers in the long term. 
Evaluation: Regulation could increase business costs for Firm A and Firm B, which could lead to higher prices. ['Could push up business costs.']
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